Minnesota vs Arizona NFL Wagering Lines

Filed Under (Sports) by steve on 05-12-2009

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kurt warnerMinnesota isn’t one of the NFL wagering unbeaten teams after 11 games, but it very well could be the league’s best team. After a dominant three-game homestand, the 10-1 Vikings will hit the road for a trip to Arizona. They are a field goal wagering lines favorite and the chances of winning hinge much on the status of Cardinals’ QB Kurt Warner, who missed last game with concussion symptoms. He was listed as probable at last check and could make Arizona a worthy home dog selection at Sportsbook.com.

The Cardinals come off a heartbreaking last-second loss to the Titans, but still remain in control of the NFC West Division at 7-4. Minnesota doesn’t figure to be a good matchup for any team right now, but in terms of trends, the Cardinals are 12-1 ATS vs. teams averaging >=7 yards per pass attempt, and 13-5 ATS against teams with a winning record under Ken Whisenhunt.
 
However, the Vikings have taken seven of the L8 head-to-head matchups outright and are 6-2 ATS in that span. They are 4-1 SU & ATS in road games in ’09, winning by 11.6 PPG.
 
The switch from a late afternoon start to Sunday night shows the importance this game has as a preview to a possible playoff matchup down the road. Minnesota has utilized its final piece of the puzzle—Brett Favre—to post an impressive 10-1 record, while Arizona has overcome the moniker of a “one-hit wonder” to stay atop the NFC West and get back to the postseason.

Vikings vs Cardinals NFL Wagering Lines at Sportsbook.com and receive INSTANT CASH BONUSES!!

 
The two teams met in the desert late last season, a game in which the Vikings dominated in a 35-14 stomping of the then-sagging Cardinals. It was a game that saw the victors score 21 points in the first quarter alone as then-starter Tarvaris Jackson tossed four touchdown passes.
 
Arizona also had few answers for Adrian Peterson’s 165 rushing yards, while the Minnesota stop unit held superstar wideout Larry Fitzgerald to only five catches for 52 yards. Like 2008, the Cardinals have dabbled with bouts of inconsistency, especially at home, but head coach Ken Whisenhunt has kept the team on track when things look like they could derail. Quarterback Kurt Warner (concussion) sat out last week’s tough 20-17 loss at Tennessee, and Arizona is going to need Warner to stay healthy to go anywhere in January, especially since backup Matt Leinart has struggled. The problem for the Cardinals has been their play at home, where three losses were accumulated in the first half of the season.
 
Aside from the hiccup in Pittsburgh, the Vikings have steamrolled every foe that has come their way and Favre’s ability to enhance the passing game has made head coach Brad Childress’ team awfully tough to stop. The savvy veteran has made the likes of Sidney Rice, Bernard Berrian and Visanthe Shiancoe look like All-Pros, while rookie Percy Harvin added another killer dimension on third downs as well as the return game.
 
Defensively, the matchup between the Arizona air attack and Minnesota’s stellar pass defense should be a sight to behold. The Vikings can get to the passer with Jared Allen and Kevin Williams, meaning Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin must get open in a hurry. Luckily, Childress will have the services of Antoine Winfield in the secondary for the first time in five games. This is vital since the Cardinals also like to use wideout Steve Breaston.
 
Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals Wagering Prediction: It will interesting to see if Arizona can shake off its home woes for a worthy opponent like Minnesota, which came in here last year and simply dominated from the opening kick. It’ll be closer this time, but the Vikings still boast too much talent. MINNESOTA 30, ARIZONA 24
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NCAA Football Wagering: SEC Championship Wagering Lines

Filed Under (Sports) by steve on 05-12-2009

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florida gators cheerleaderWhen the Florida Gators and Alabama Crimson Tide meet for the second straight year in the SEC Championship Wagering Lines Game, not only will a conference title be on the line, but a national title may be as well. The winner of the game figures to be the favorite for the BCS Championship Game next month.

For this one, Florida is a shaky 5.5-point wagering lines favorite, nearly half of what it was last December. It seems oddsmakers at Sportsbook.com are giving the Tide a legitimate shot at the upset.
 
As soon as the first BCS ratings were announced, it was a foregone conclusion these two SEC teams would meet again for what is essentially a semi-final game for the national championship.
 
Alabama quarterback Greg McElroy has rectified mid-season slump and again is on target to Julio Jones and other pass-catchers. The defense is led by nose tackle Terrence Cody and has a number of large bodies and they have been ranked with Florida all season among the top three defenses in college football. Bama is 13-5 ATS after eight or more consecutive straight up wins.
 
Just how good has the Florida (12-0, 6-5 ATS) football program been the last several of years? This senior class is 47-6, the best ever in the long history of the SEC and they are impressive 31-17-2 ATS, often facing spreads bigger than the Mt. Cody. Besides the numbers, this Florida team wants to leave an indelible mark, like the basketball team did a few years back.
 
The Gators are trying to be back-to-back champions and be first Florida squad to claim a national championship being unbeaten. Tim Tebow has put up numbers and accomplished feats that arguably make him the greatest college football player of all-time. The offense lacked the playmakers of a year ago but offensive line has pulled them through. The defense covered up what rough patches the offense suffered. The Gators are 9-2 ATS away from Gainesville after two or more consecutive straight up wins.
 
This is a de facto BCS Final Four encounter. Florida has the edge because they have Tebow and shined on this stage every time they have played under Urban Meyer. Pick the style of play, the Gators eat it up.
 
Against teams with winning records, Florida is 11-2 ATS. You play great defense and hold teams to 17 or fewer points, the Gators are 6-0 ATS. What about teams with high scoring offenses that total 31 or more points a game, 8-1 ATS the last three years.
 
Job one of Alabama’s tremendous defense; take away the Florida dive play. If LB Rolando McClain is making tackles within four yards of line of scrimmage, the Crimson Tide defense is doing its job. The Florida passing tends to run in streaks during games, don’t let Tebow get comfortable throwing the ball.
 
Coach Nick Saban’s offensive line had played outstanding until last week in Auburn. They have to be great against fabulous Florida defense and they got early Christmas present, not having to deal with DE Carlos Dunlap (suspended for drunk driving charges). Running back Mark Ingram can’t run like he did last week and QB Greg McElroy cannot crumble in the moment for a team that is 7-0 ATS away from home vs. excellent passing defenses allowing 5.25 or less passing yards per attempt.
 
Sportsbook.com has the Gators as favorites; however from our friends at Playbook.com, we find No.1 teams are 2-9 and 1-10 ATS off a win by 25 or more points. The total has been steady at 41 and Florida is 7-1 UNDER after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games and Alabama is 11-2 UNDER after five or more consecutive straight up wins over the last two seasons.
 
This has the making of classic defensive struggle and Florida is 6-4 and 5-4-1 ATS since 1992. That’s why it seems strange that at last check on the Sportsbook.com Betting Trends page, nearly 80% of total wagering was favoring the OVER.
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Jets vs Bills Wagering Lines NFL Thursday Night

Filed Under (Sports) by steve on 03-12-2009

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terrell owensNFL Thursday Night Wagering: TO Heads North to T-O
By Chad Rogers

Terrell Owens loves attention and it doesn’t matter where it comes from: Media, coaches, QBs – he’ll take it all. Imagine the fun he’s having this week as the Bills host the New York Jets as -3 wagering lines faves in the city that’s known as “T-O” for short.
 
But part of the reason Owens is in such good spirits these days is because of the added attention he’s received on the field. Buffalo’s No. 1 wideout has been targeted nine times per game the past three outings after being thrown at just six times per game through the first eight weeks.
 
It’s turned into better yardage – always good in a contract year. It has put Owens back at the center of the media in Buffalo, where he feels he deserves to be, and it’s made a few fantasy players happy. More importantly, it has translated into Buffalo’s most impressive win of the year, coming last week vs the Miami Dolphins.
 
This Thursday the Bills are “hosting” the New York Jets (-3) at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Canada and coming off that 31-14 home win in Week 12 the entire team has reason for optimism. Buffalo already beat the Jets 16-13 in overtime when the clubs first met in Week 6 and under the guidance of interim head coach Perry Fewell the team’s performance has only gotten better.
 
Online sportsbooks have set the New York Jets as 3-point wagering lines favourites, with an Over/Under number set at 37.
 
New York is also coming off win, 17-6 vs the Carolina Panthers and although it wasn’t the kind of game the Jets planned going in, it was the outcome New York needed to keep its thin playoff hopes alive. The Jets are one game below .500 and just two games back from the New England Patriots. Sparked by the Pats Monday Night Football loss in New Orleans bettors can expect both of these AFC East rivals to fight hard for a win.
 
For the Jets it means getting Mark Sanchez to cut down on the mistakes that cost him in his first loss to the Bills. The rookie was 10-of-29 for 119 yards and five interceptions and it revealed his inexperience as a starter, which is what critics have cited as his biggest downside all along.
 
Winds were howling the last time these teams met, but in the comfort of the domed stadium Sanchez should perform better. The QB tweaked his knee last week but it is not considered serious and he will start.
 
The Jets play three winnable games, starting this week with Buffalo and then Tampa Bay and Atlanta on-deck. Just one more loss and the already slim hope of catching the Pats will be all but gone. An 0-5 ATS mark in their last five games in December makes the team an even bigger longshot.
 
Buffalo is dead last in the league stopping the run, giving up 165 rushing yards per game, so while the Bills center their game plan around Owens, look for the Jets to rely on its ground-game.
 
Over/Under bettors may want to note that although Thursday games in 2009 have produced five unders and no overs, the posted total of 37 is the lowest Thursday total yet. Betting totals in Thursday night games last year produced a winning record of 6-1 to the "Over". I’m wagering on the Total in this one, betting the Over 37 at SPORTSBETTING.com.

I also played the Thursday night “NFL Pick The Winners” contest, taking a shot at a free $50 win (and it’s free to play). Enjoy the game.

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